Heinrich’s Local Rationality: Shouldn’t ‘New View’ Thinkers Ask Why Things Made Sense To Him? 

Here you can find a discussion of Heinrich's papers which was part of the literature research done for the thesis (and book). While they do not provide the actual papers, you can glimpse their contents and get some quotes along with some critique and reflections.


Busch, C. (2021) Preventing Industrial Accidents. Reappraising H. W. Heinrich – More than Triangles and Dominoes. Milton Park: Routledge.

Link to the publisher's page:

Read some sections online:

Here you can find sections that had to be edited out of the final version of the book, but provide worthwhile enhancement.



Busch, C. (2020) Myth Busting: De 88% van Heinrich. NVVK Info, 29 (1): 12-14.



Heinrich's Local Rationality - PDSC session 26 June 2020

Near misses - orgins, triangles and challenges. (18 December 2020)

The slides accompanying the podcast can be found here: 

Young NVVK -  Safety Forward - 20-01-2021

I give an introduction to Heinrich's work in Dutch from ca. 5 to 35 min. Will edit this when I find the time.

Safety Myth Busting: The 80 Percent Conclusion

Dealing critically with the 88:10:2 ratio:


Other stuff:

old reviews/summaries 


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